Serie A · 25/26
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Cagliari v Cremonese
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Cagliari1 – 0
Cremonese
11 Apr 2026
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Bonazzoli | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Gennaro Borrelli | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Paul Mendy | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| David Okereke | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sebastiano Esposito | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 3 | ✓ |
| Luca Mazzitelli | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gennaro Borrelli | fouls committed | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Marco Palestra | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 5 | ✓ |
| Federico Bonazzoli | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 4 | ✓ |
| Gennaro Borrelli | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 3 | ✓ |
| Luca Mazzitelli | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Warren Bondo | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Martín Payero | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Martín Payero | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 49% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 43% | 1 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 20% | 2 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Cagliari & Cremonese player stats→
Cagliari players & stats→
Cremonese players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Cremonese 2–2 Cagliari Jan 2026
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.