Serie A · 25/26

Cremonese v Atalanta

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Cremonese1 – 1 Atalanta 25 Oct 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Nikola Krstović	shots total	1+	100%	3	✓
Gianluca Scamacca	shots total	1+	100%	3	✓
Ademola Lookman	shots total	1+	98%	4	✓
Charles De Ketelaere	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Jeremy Sarmiento	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Lazar Samardžić	shots total	1+	89%	3	✓
Martín Payero	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Jamie Vardy	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Mario Pašalić	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Martín Payero	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Martín Payero	fouls drawn	1+	80%	0	✗
Éderson	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
Nicola Zalewski	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Nicola Zalewski	fouls drawn	1+	76%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	51%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	48%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	15%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Cremonese & Atalanta player stats→ Cremonese players & stats→ Atalanta players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works