Cremonese v Parma
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Cutrone | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mateo Pellegrino | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Franco Vázquez | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gaetano Oristanio | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Pontus Almqvist | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Adrián Bernabé | shots total | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Gaetano Oristanio | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mateo Pellegrino | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Antonio Sanabria | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alessio Zerbin | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gaetano Oristanio | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Antonio Sanabria | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| Adrián Bernabé | fouls drawn | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
| Warren Bondo | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 57% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 53% | 0 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 30% | 1 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Parma 0–2 Cremonese Mar 2026
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.