Parma v Cremonese
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Ondrejka | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gaetano Oristanio | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gabriel Strefezza | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Federico Bonazzoli | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mateo Pellegrino | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jamie Vardy | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Youssef Maleh | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mateo Pellegrino | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 3 | ✓ |
| Martín Payero | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gabriel Strefezza | fouls drawn | 1+ | 82% | 2 | ✓ |
| Alessio Zerbin | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Antonio Sanabria | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Martín Payero | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Hans Nicolussi Caviglia | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 50% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 45% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 28% | 6 cards | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Cremonese 0–0 Parma Sep 2025
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.