Cremonese v Spezia
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Ciofani | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 2 | ✓ |
| David Okereke | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Eldor Shomurodov | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Daniele Verde | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| M'bala Nzola | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Emanuele Valeri | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Emmanuel Gyasi | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 3 | ✓ |
| Marco Benassi | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 3 | ✓ |
| Kevin Agudelo | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 2 | ✓ |
| Pablo Galdames | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Leonardo Sernicola | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| M'bala Nzola | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Salvatore Esposito | fouls drawn | 1+ | 73% | 2 | ✓ |
| Leonardo Sernicola | fouls drawn | 1+ | 73% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 61% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 58% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 33% | 2 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Spezia 2–2 Cremonese Oct 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.