Serie A · 24/25

Empoli v Atalanta

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Empoli0 – 5 Atalanta 23 Feb 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Mateo Retegui	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Ademola Lookman	shots total	1+	98%	2	✓
Charles De Ketelaere	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Mario Pašalić	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Lorenzo Colombo	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Christian Kouamé	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Sebastiano Esposito	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Liam Henderson	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Davide Zappacosta	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Stefan Posch	fouls committed	1+	80%	4	✓
Éderson	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Youssef Maleh	fouls committed	1+	78%	0	✗
Sebastiano Esposito	fouls drawn	1+	77%	3	✓
Christian Kouamé	fouls drawn	1+	76%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	48%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	46%	5 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	21%	1 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Empoli & Atalanta player stats→ Empoli players & stats→ Atalanta players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works