Serie A · 24/25

Atalanta v Empoli

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Atalanta3 – 2 Empoli 22 Dec 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Mateo Retegui	shots total	1+	100%	0	✗
Ademola Lookman	shots total	1+	98%	2	✓
Lazar Samardžić	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Nicolò Zaniolo	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Mario Pašalić	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Charles De Ketelaere	shots total	1+	89%	5	✓
Sebastiano Esposito	shots total	1+	89%	3	✓
Lorenzo Colombo	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Nicolò Zaniolo	fouls drawn	1+	84%	3	✓
Liam Henderson	fouls committed	1+	83%	3	✓
Davide Zappacosta	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Nicolò Zaniolo	fouls committed	1+	80%	2	✓
Lorenzo Colombo	fouls committed	1+	79%	1	✓
Sead Kolašinac	fouls committed	1+	78%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	48%	5 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	40%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	18%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Atalanta & Empoli player stats→ Atalanta players & stats→ Empoli players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works