Serie A · 24/25

Empoli v Fiorentina

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Empoli0 – 0 Fiorentina 29 Sep 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Moise Kean	shots total	1+	98%	4	✓
Andrea Colpani	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Christian Kouamé	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Albert Guðmundsson	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Liam Henderson	fouls committed	1+	85%	3	✓
Christian Kouamé	fouls drawn	1+	83%	2	✓
Sebastiano Esposito	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Lorenzo Colombo	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Edoardo Bove	fouls drawn	1+	81%	4	✓
Sebastiano Esposito	fouls drawn	1+	79%	0	✗
Ola Solbakken	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Robin Gosens	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Giuseppe Pezzella	fouls committed	1+	79%	3	✓
Emmanuel Gyasi	fouls committed	1+	78%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	52%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	48%	0 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	42%	1 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Empoli & Fiorentina player stats→ Empoli players & stats→ Fiorentina players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works