Serie A · 25/26
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Fiorentina v Pisa
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Fiorentina1 – 0
Pisa
23 Feb 2026
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 7 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moise Kean | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 5 | ✓ |
| Manor Solomon | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Stefano Moreo | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Fabiano Parisi | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Rafiu Durosinmi | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Marco Brescianini | shots total | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marius Marin | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 5 | ✓ |
| Rafiu Durosinmi | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Filip Stojilković | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Juan Cuadrado | fouls drawn | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Nicolò Fagioli | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 3 | ✓ |
| Henrik Wendel Meister | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jack Harrison | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Samuel Iling Junior | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 60% | 1 goals | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 57% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 42% | 6 cards | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Fiorentina & Pisa player stats→
Fiorentina players & stats→
Pisa players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Pisa 0–0 Fiorentina Sep 2025
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.