Serie A · 25/26

Pisa v Fiorentina

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Pisa0 – 0 Fiorentina 28 Sep 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Moise Kean	shots total	1+	98%	5	✓
Rolando Mandragora	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Jacopo Fazzini	shots total	1+	89%	3	✓
Albert Guðmundsson	shots total	1+	86%	0	✗
M'bala Nzola	fouls committed	1+	85%	1	✓
Mehdi Léris	fouls committed	1+	81%	1	✓
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Matteo Tramoni	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Henrik Wendel Meister	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
M'bala Nzola	shots total	1+	81%	3	✓
Rolando Mandragora	fouls drawn	1+	80%	4	✓
Juan Cuadrado	fouls drawn	1+	80%	2	✓
Marin Pongračić	fouls committed	1+	79%	3	✓
Jacopo Fazzini	fouls drawn	1+	79%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	49%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	44%	0 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	13%	1 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Pisa & Fiorentina player stats→ Pisa players & stats→ Fiorentina players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Fiorentina 1–0 Pisa Feb 2026

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works