Serie A · 22/23

Fiorentina v Sampdoria

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Fiorentina5 – 0 Sampdoria 30 Apr 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Luka Jović	shots total	1+	98%	2	✓
Nicolás González	shots total	1+	98%	4	✓
Riccardo Sottil	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Christian Kouamé	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Nicolás González	fouls drawn	1+	86%	1	✓
Manolo Gabbiadini	shots total	1+	84%	0	✗
Riccardo Sottil	fouls drawn	1+	84%	0	✗
Sofyan Amrabat	fouls committed	1+	83%	4	✓
Christian Kouamé	fouls drawn	1+	82%	0	✗
Tomás Rincón	fouls committed	1+	82%	3	✓
Mehdi Léris	fouls committed	1+	81%	2	✓
Gaetano Castrovilli	shots total	1+	81%	5	✓
Sam Lammers	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Alfred Duncan	fouls committed	1+	80%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	80%	3 cards	✗
Match goals	O2.5	57%	5 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	50%	No	✗

Dig deeper

Fiorentina & Sampdoria player stats→ Fiorentina players & stats→ Sampdoria players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Sampdoria 0–2 Fiorentina Nov 2022

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works