Sampdoria v Fiorentina
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Jović | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Arthur Cabral | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sofyan Amrabat | fouls committed | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Christian Kouamé | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Christian Kouamé | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Rolando Mandragora | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 3 | ✓ |
| Christian Kouamé | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 2 | ✓ |
| Rolando Mandragora | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Manolo Gabbiadini | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jonathan Ikoné | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Fabio Quagliarella | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Daniele Montevago | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Gonzalo Villar | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Dodô | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 82% | 1 cards | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 44% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 42% | 2 goals | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Fiorentina 5–0 Sampdoria Apr 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.