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Serie A · 22/23

Sampdoria v Fiorentina

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Sampdoria0 – 2 Fiorentina 6 Nov 2022

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Luka Jović shots total 1+ 94% 0
Arthur Cabral shots total 1+ 93% 0
Sofyan Amrabat fouls committed 1+ 89% 1
Christian Kouamé shots total 1+ 86% 1
Christian Kouamé fouls drawn 1+ 84% 0
Rolando Mandragora fouls committed 1+ 82% 3
Christian Kouamé fouls committed 1+ 82% 2
Rolando Mandragora shots total 1+ 81% 0
Manolo Gabbiadini shots total 1+ 81% 1
Jonathan Ikoné shots total 1+ 81% 0
Fabio Quagliarella shots total 1+ 81% 1
Daniele Montevago shots total 1+ 81% 2
Gonzalo Villar fouls committed 1+ 80% 0
Dodô fouls committed 1+ 79% 1

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match cards O4.5 82% 1 cards
Btts Yes 44% No
Match goals O2.5 42% 2 goals

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.