Livio Marinelli
Over the last 10 Serie A games Livio Marinelli has officiated, the average is 3.70 cards a match — 12% below the league average of 4.19. That splits 3.4 yellow and 0.3 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. The home side sees more cards — 1.5 to 2.2 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 30% of those games (3 of 10), from a 14.7% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come at about the league's rate: 18 awarded in 47 matches, 0.38 a game against a league average of 0.29. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Livio Marinelli turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Serie A season on record.
| Measure | Marinelli | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.79 | 4.19 |
| vs league | 0.90× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 15.4% | 16.9% |
| Fouls / match | 24.6 | 24.7 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 18 in 47 | — |
| Red cards shown | 13 | — |
| Matches on record | 48 (1 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Serie A games Livio Marinelli took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter v Monza22 Aug | 4–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | — | 19 |
| Fiorentina v Sassuolo26 Apr | 0–0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 |
| Cagliari v Como7 Mar | 1–2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| Sassuolo v Hellas Verona20 Feb | 3–0 | 5 1 red 1 pen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 26 |
| Lecce v Parma11 Jan | 1–2 | 6 2 red | 4 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| Torino v Cremonese13 Dec | 1–0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33 |
| AC Milan v Fiorentina19 Oct | 2–1 | 6 1 pen | 6 | 0 | 1 | 26 |
| Inter v Sassuolo21 Sep | 2–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
● a red card▪ a penalty awarded in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Livio Marinelli give per game?
Livio Marinelli averages 3.79 cards a game across 48 Serie A matches — 10% below the league average of 4.19. On a Livio Marinelli appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.90.
Is Livio Marinelli a strict referee?
No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Livio Marinelli runs at 15.4% against a league average of 16.9%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Livio Marinelli's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Livio Marinelli's card rate?
It rests on 48 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.