Serie A · 22/23

Fiorentina v Spezia

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Fiorentina1 – 1 Spezia 8 Apr 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Nicolás González	shots total	1+	98%	2	✓
Arthur Cabral	shots total	1+	98%	1	✓
Giacomo Bonaventura	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Riccardo Sottil	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Jonathan Ikoné	shots total	1+	89%	3	✓
Rolando Mandragora	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Daniel Maldini	shots total	1+	86%	0	✗
Nicolás González	fouls drawn	1+	84%	3	✓
M'bala Nzola	fouls committed	1+	82%	3	✓
Simone Bastoni	fouls committed	1+	81%	2	✓
Josip Brekalo	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Tio Cipot	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
M'bala Nzola	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Gaetano Castrovilli	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	61%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	56%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	49%	7 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Fiorentina & Spezia player stats→ Fiorentina players & stats→ Spezia players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Spezia 1–2 Fiorentina Oct 2022

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works