Serie A · 24/25

Genoa v Empoli

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Genoa1 – 1 Empoli 2 Mar 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 7 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Caleb Ekuban	shots total	1+	98%	0	✗
Jeff Ekhator	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Lorenzo Colombo	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Andrea Pinamonti	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Maxwel Cornet	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Sebastiano Esposito	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Junior Messias	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Christian Kouamé	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Liam Henderson	fouls committed	1+	86%	5	✓
Fabio Miretti	fouls drawn	1+	81%	2	✓
Patrizio Masini	fouls committed	1+	81%	1	✓
Fabio Miretti	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Jean Onana	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Koni De Winter	fouls committed	1+	80%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	42%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	38%	4 cards	✗
Match goals	O2.5	36%	2 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Genoa & Empoli player stats→ Genoa players & stats→ Empoli players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works