Hellas Verona v Lecce
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieron Bowie | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nikola Štulić | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Walid Cheddira | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Lameck Banda | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Lameck Banda | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tomáš Suslov | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Walid Cheddira | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tomáš Suslov | fouls drawn | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Antoine Bernede | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Amin Sarr | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tomáš Suslov | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 3 | ✓ |
| Amin Sarr | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sandi Lovrić | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 51% | 7 cards | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 39% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 32% | 0 goals | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Lecce 0–0 Hellas Verona Nov 2025
- Hellas Verona 1–1 Lecce May 2025
- Lecce 1–0 Hellas Verona Oct 2024
- Lecce 0–1 Hellas Verona Mar 2024
- Hellas Verona 2–2 Lecce Nov 2023
- Lecce 0–1 Hellas Verona May 2023
- Hellas Verona 2–0 Lecce Jan 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.