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Serie A · 23/24

Hellas Verona v Salernitana

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Hellas Verona0 – 1 Salernitana 30 Dec 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Cyril Ngonge shots total 1+ 98% 2
Simy shots total 1+ 94% 1
Federico Bonazzoli shots total 1+ 94% 0
Milan Đurić shots total 1+ 93% 1
Antonio Candreva shots total 1+ 89% 0
Loum Tchaouna shots total 1+ 89% 2
Grigoris Kastanos shots total 1+ 83% 2
Giulio Maggiore fouls committed 1+ 81% 5
Michael Folorunsho shots total 1+ 81% 0
Darko Lazović shots total 1+ 81% 1
Tomáš Suslov shots total 1+ 81% 4
Grigoris Kastanos fouls drawn 1+ 80% 1
Cyril Ngonge fouls committed 1+ 80% 3
Filippo Terracciano fouls drawn 1+ 79% 0

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match cards O4.5 52% 4 cards
Btts Yes 47% No
Match goals O2.5 43% 1 goals

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Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.