Serie A · 24/25

Hellas Verona v Venezia

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Hellas Verona2 – 1 Venezia 4 Oct 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Daniel Mosquera	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Joel Pohjanpalo	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Dailon Rocha Livramento	shots total	1+	89%	3	✓
Casper Tengstedt	shots total	1+	86%	6	✓
Gaetano Oristanio	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Gaetano Oristanio	fouls drawn	1+	81%	4	✓
Darko Lazović	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Gaetano Oristanio	shots total	1+	81%	3	✓
Grigoris Kastanos	fouls drawn	1+	80%	1	✓
Grigoris Kastanos	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Issa Doumbia	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Gianluca Busio	shots total	1+	79%	4	✓
Mikael Ellertsson	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	46%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	39%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	38%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Hellas Verona & Venezia player stats→ Hellas Verona players & stats→ Venezia players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Venezia 1–1 Hellas Verona Jan 2025

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works