Serie A · 22/23
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Inter v Spezia
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Inter3 – 0
Spezia
20 Aug 2022
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Martínez | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 4 | ✓ |
| Romelu Lukaku | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Edin Džeko | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| David Strelec | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| M'bala Nzola | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Kevin Agudelo | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Simone Bastoni | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 3 | ✓ |
| David Strelec | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicolò Barella | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Emmanuel Gyasi | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Arkadiusz Reca | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marcelo Brozović | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| David Strelec | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Hakan Çalhanoğlu | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 33% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 31% | 0 cards | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 24% | 3 goals | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Inter & Spezia player stats→
Inter players & stats→
Spezia players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Spezia 2–1 Inter Mar 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.