Serie A · 22/23

Spezia v Inter

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Spezia2 – 1 Inter 10 Mar 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Lautaro Martínez	shots total	1+	100%	8	✓
Edin Džeko	shots total	1+	98%	2	✓
Romelu Lukaku	shots total	1+	94%	4	✓
Eldor Shomurodov	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Hakan Çalhanoğlu	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Federico Dimarco	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
M'bala Nzola	shots total	1+	86%	1	✓
Lautaro Martínez	fouls drawn	1+	81%	0	✗
Denzel Dumfries	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Daniel Maldini	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Henrikh Mkhitaryan	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Emmanuel Gyasi	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Marcelo Brozović	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
M'bala Nzola	fouls committed	1+	79%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	54%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	51%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	38%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Spezia & Inter player stats→ Spezia players & stats→ Inter players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Inter 3–0 Spezia Aug 2022

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works