Juventus v Hellas Verona
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Juventus drew with Hellas Verona 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 14 landed — the strongest being Manuel Locatelli for 1+ tackles (97%, had 1). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Frese | tackles | 1+ | 97% | 3 | ✓ |
| Roberto Gagliardini | tackles | 1+ | 97% | 4 | ✓ |
| Manuel Locatelli | tackles | 1+ | 97% | 1 | ✓ |
| Dušan Vlahović | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 3 | ✓ |
| Francisco Conceição | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 4 | ✓ |
| Kenan Yıldız | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tomáš Suslov | fouls drawn | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Dušan Vlahović | shots on target | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jonathan David | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Fabio Miretti | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kieron Bowie | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 4 | ✓ |
| Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro | tackles | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Antoine Bernede | tackles | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Khéphren Thuram | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls drawn Shots on target
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 43% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 43% | 5 cards | ✓ |
| BTTS | Yes | 38% | Yes | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Match goals Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Hellas Verona 1–1 Juventus Sep 2025
- Juventus 2–0 Hellas Verona Mar 2025
- Hellas Verona 0–3 Juventus Aug 2024
- Hellas Verona 2–2 Juventus Feb 2024
- Juventus 1–0 Hellas Verona Oct 2023
- Juventus 1–0 Hellas Verona Apr 2023
- Hellas Verona 0–1 Juventus Nov 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Juventus v Hellas Verona?
14 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Juventus v Hellas Verona?
Every one of its confident calls landed this time — a single strong game, not a verdict. When the model does miss, those rows sit in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross; we never hide them.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Serie A?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.