Serie A · 25/26

Lazio v Hellas Verona

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Lazio4 – 0 Hellas Verona 31 Aug 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Pedro	shots total	1+	99%	1	✓
Valentín Castellanos	shots total	1+	98%	6	✓
Mattia Zaccagni	fouls drawn	1+	91%	4	✓
Giovane	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Abdou Harroui	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Matteo Cancellieri	fouls drawn	1+	85%	4	✓
Amin Sarr	fouls committed	1+	82%	2	✓
Matteo Cancellieri	shots total	1+	81%	3	✓
Suat Serdar	fouls committed	1+	80%	3	✓
Pedro	fouls drawn	1+	79%	2	✓
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Mattia Zaccagni	shots total	1+	79%	3	✓
Suat Serdar	shots total	1+	79%	3	✓
Unai Núñez	fouls committed	1+	79%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	68%	0 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	41%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	41%	4 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Lazio & Hellas Verona player stats→ Lazio players & stats→ Hellas Verona players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works