Serie A · 22/23

Lazio v Sampdoria

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Lazio1 – 0 Sampdoria 27 Feb 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Ciro Immobile	shots total	1+	98%	3	✓
Manolo Gabbiadini	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Mattia Zaccagni	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Pedro	shots total	1+	89%	3	✓
Sam Lammers	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Mattia Zaccagni	fouls drawn	1+	86%	1	✓
Mattia Zaccagni	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Sergej Milinković-Savić	fouls drawn	1+	82%	3	✓
Tomás Rincón	fouls committed	1+	81%	4	✓
Sergej Milinković-Savić	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Felipe Anderson	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Luis Alberto	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Mehdi Léris	fouls committed	1+	80%	1	✓
Matías Vecino	fouls committed	1+	79%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	64%	4 cards	✗
Match goals	O2.5	49%	1 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	47%	No	✗

Dig deeper

Lazio & Sampdoria player stats→ Lazio players & stats→ Sampdoria players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Sampdoria 1–1 Lazio Aug 2022

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works