Serie A · 25/26

Lecce v Cremonese

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Lecce2 – 1 Cremonese 8 Mar 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Federico Bonazzoli	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Lameck Banda	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Nikola Štulić	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Milan Đurić	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
David Okereke	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Walid Cheddira	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Lameck Banda	fouls committed	1+	88%	3	✓
Federico Bonazzoli	fouls drawn	1+	84%	2	✓
Walid Cheddira	fouls drawn	1+	82%	0	✗
Oumar Ngom	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Morten Thorsby	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Martín Payero	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Santiago Pierotti	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Jamie Vardy	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	46%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	40%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	24%	6 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Lecce & Cremonese player stats→ Lecce players & stats→ Cremonese players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works