Serie A · 22/23

Lecce v Sampdoria

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Lecce1 – 1 Sampdoria 16 Apr 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Manolo Gabbiadini	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Rémi Oudin	shots total	1+	94%	5	✓
Assan Ceesay	shots total	1+	94%	4	✓
Gabriel Strefezza	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Federico Di Francesco	shots total	1+	89%	4	✓
Jesé Rodríguez	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Sam Lammers	shots total	1+	86%	0	✗
Abdelhamid Sabiri	shots total	1+	86%	2	✓
Gabriel Strefezza	fouls drawn	1+	84%	2	✓
Manolo Gabbiadini	fouls drawn	1+	84%	2	✓
Abdelhamid Sabiri	fouls drawn	1+	83%	2	✓
Morten Hjulmand	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Gabriel Strefezza	fouls committed	1+	82%	1	✓
Abdelhamid Sabiri	fouls committed	1+	82%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	52%	5 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	36%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	29%	2 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Lecce & Sampdoria player stats→ Lecce players & stats→ Sampdoria players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Sampdoria 0–2 Lecce Nov 2022

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works