Serie A · 22/23
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Sampdoria v Lecce
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Sampdoria0 – 2
Lecce
12 Nov 2022
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manolo Gabbiadini | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 4 | ✓ |
| Daniele Montevago | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lorenzo Colombo | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 4 | ✓ |
| Federico Di Francesco | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Morten Hjulmand | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Gabriel Strefezza | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Gabriel Strefezza | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Joan González | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 3 | ✓ |
| Lorenzo Colombo | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 3 | ✓ |
| Gabriel Strefezza | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Francesco Caputo | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gonzalo Villar | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Federico Di Francesco | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Valerio Verre | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 68% | 5 cards | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 30% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 21% | 2 goals | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Sampdoria & Lecce player stats→
Sampdoria players & stats→
Lecce players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Lecce 1–1 Sampdoria Apr 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.