Serie A · 23/24

Monza v Salernitana

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Monza3 – 0 Salernitana 8 Oct 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Lorenzo Colombo	shots total	1+	94%	5	✓
Samuele Vignato	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Jovane Cabral	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Trivante Stewart	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Andrea Colpani	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Roberto Gagliardini	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Antonio Candreva	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Patrick Ciurria	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Grigoris Kastanos	shots total	1+	86%	0	✗
Papu Gómez	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Boulaye Dia	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Giulio Maggiore	fouls committed	1+	80%	2	✓
Jovane Cabral	fouls committed	1+	78%	2	✓
Grigoris Kastanos	fouls drawn	1+	76%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	53%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	49%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	44%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Monza & Salernitana player stats→ Monza players & stats→ Salernitana players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works