Serie A · 25/26

Pisa v Atalanta

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Pisa1 – 1 Atalanta 16 Jan 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Nikola Krstović	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Gianluca Scamacca	shots total	1+	98%	1	✓
Giacomo Raspadori	shots total	1+	98%	0	✗
Charles De Ketelaere	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Nicola Zalewski	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Stefano Moreo	shots total	1+	89%	4	✓
Nicola Zalewski	fouls drawn	1+	86%	2	✓
Matteo Tramoni	shots total	1+	86%	0	✗
Nikola Krstović	fouls committed	1+	82%	1	✓
Éderson	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Henrik Wendel Meister	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Davide Zappacosta	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Gianluca Scamacca	fouls committed	1+	81%	1	✓
Yunus Musah	fouls drawn	1+	79%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	53%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	52%	2 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	14%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Pisa & Atalanta player stats→ Pisa players & stats→ Atalanta players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Atalanta 1–1 Pisa Aug 2025

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works