Salernitana v Bologna
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Zirkzee | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Simy | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Boulaye Dia | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Dan Ndoye | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lewis Ferguson | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Antonio Candreva | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Loum Tchaouna | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Giulio Maggiore | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Victor Kristiansen | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nikola Moro | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 3 | ✓ |
| Dan Ndoye | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 2 | ✓ |
| Stefan Posch | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 51% | 11 cards | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 46% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 44% | 3 goals | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Bologna 3–0 Salernitana Apr 2024
- Salernitana 2–2 Bologna Mar 2023
- Bologna 1–1 Salernitana Sep 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.