Serie A · 23/24
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Salernitana v Lecce
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Salernitana0 – 1
Lecce
16 Mar 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Piccoli | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 4 | ✓ |
| Nikola Krstović | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 3 | ✓ |
| Pontus Almqvist | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 4 | ✓ |
| Loum Tchaouna | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 4 | ✓ |
| Shon Weissman | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Antonio Candreva | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Rémi Oudin | shots total | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Simy | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Giulio Maggiore | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Simy | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Marin Pongračić | fouls committed | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Giulio Maggiore | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 0 | ✗ |
| Simy | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alexis Blin | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 63% | 7 cards | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 52% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 48% | 1 goals | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Salernitana & Lecce player stats→
Salernitana players & stats→
Lecce players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Lecce 2–0 Salernitana Sep 2023
- Lecce 1–2 Salernitana Jan 2023
- Salernitana 1–2 Lecce Sep 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.