Serie A · 22/23

Sampdoria v Spezia

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Sampdoria1 – 1 Spezia 22 Apr 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Manolo Gabbiadini	shots total	1+	98%	3	✓
Daniel Maldini	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Sam Lammers	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Daniele Verde	shots total	1+	94%	5	✓
M'bala Nzola	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Simone Bastoni	fouls committed	1+	84%	1	✓
M'bala Nzola	fouls committed	1+	84%	0	✗
Manolo Gabbiadini	fouls drawn	1+	82%	0	✗
Simone Bastoni	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Emmanuel Gyasi	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Albin Ekdal	fouls committed	1+	80%	1	✓
Daniel Maldini	fouls drawn	1+	80%	2	✓
Daniel Maldini	fouls committed	1+	80%	2	✓
Mehdi Léris	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	61%	2 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	56%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	51%	2 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Sampdoria & Spezia player stats→ Sampdoria players & stats→ Spezia players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Spezia 2–1 Sampdoria Sep 2022

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works