Serie A · 22/23

Spezia v Sampdoria

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Spezia2 – 1 Sampdoria 17 Sep 2022

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Francesco Caputo	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Abdelhamid Sabiri	shots total	1+	89%	6	✓
M'bala Nzola	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Simone Bastoni	fouls committed	1+	84%	3	✓
Emmanuel Gyasi	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Mehdi Léris	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Filip Đuričić	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Gonzalo Villar	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Ronaldo Vieira	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Tomás Rincón	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Emil Holm	fouls committed	1+	79%	2	✓
M'bala Nzola	fouls committed	1+	79%	3	✓
Arkadiusz Reca	fouls committed	1+	78%	0	✗
Francesco Caputo	fouls drawn	1+	77%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	43%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	36%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	21%	9 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Spezia & Sampdoria player stats→ Spezia players & stats→ Sampdoria players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Sampdoria 1–1 Spezia Apr 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works