Eintracht Frankfurt v FC St. Pauli
How the SharpXI model rated this Bundesliga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Eintracht Frankfurt beat FC St. Pauli 2–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Jonathan Burkardt for 1+ shots total (91%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Nathaniel Brown for 1+ tackles (92%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
13 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Brown | tackles | 1+ | 92% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Burkardt | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Andreas Hountondji | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Martijn Kaars | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Oladapo Afolayan | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Danel Sinani | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Manolis Saliakas | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Rasmus Kristensen | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 5 | ✓ |
| Mathias Pereira Lage | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Can Uzun | shots total | 1+ | 84% | 4 | ✓ |
| Ansgar Knauff | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mathias Pereira Lage | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Louis Oppie | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 56% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 56% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 34% | 1 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- FC St. Pauli 0–0 Eintracht Frankfurt Mar 2026
- Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 FC St. Pauli May 2025
- FC St. Pauli 0–1 Eintracht Frankfurt Jan 2025
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Eintracht Frankfurt v FC St. Pauli?
9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Eintracht Frankfurt v FC St. Pauli?
The most confident call it got wrong was Nathaniel Brown at 92% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Bundesliga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.