Eintracht Frankfurt v VfL Wolfsburg
How the SharpXI model rated this Bundesliga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Eintracht Frankfurt drew with VfL Wolfsburg 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Rasmus Kristensen for 1+ tackles (92%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Ansgar Knauff for 1+ shots total (83%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Kristensen | tackles | 1+ | 92% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mohamed Amoura | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Michy Batshuayi | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jenson Seelt | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nnamdi Collins | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathaniel Brown | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Patrick Wimmer | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Saël Kumbedi | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Lovro Majer | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jean-Mattéo Bahoya | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ritsu Doan | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ansgar Knauff | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mario Götze | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jean-Mattéo Bahoya | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 65% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| BTTS | Yes | 62% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 29% | 5 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Match goals Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt Apr 2026
- Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg Feb 2025
- VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt Sep 2024
- Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg Feb 2024
- VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt Sep 2023
- VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt Mar 2023
- Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg Sep 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Eintracht Frankfurt v VfL Wolfsburg?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Eintracht Frankfurt v VfL Wolfsburg?
The most confident call it got wrong was Ansgar Knauff at 83% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Bundesliga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.