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Bundesliga · 24/25

VfL Bochum 1848 v Eintracht Frankfurt

How the SharpXI model rated this Bundesliga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

VfL Bochum 18481 – 3 Eintracht Frankfurt 16 Mar 2025
11/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before VfL Bochum 1848 lost to Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Hugo Ekitiké for 1+ shots total (89%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Gerrit Holtmann for 1+ fouls committed (72%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Felix Zwayer refereed this match 4.39cards/game 1.07×vs league 67games
Felix Zwayer's card record →
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Hugo Ekitiké shots total 1+ 89% 3
Ibrahima Sissoko fouls committed 1+ 84% 1
Myron Boadu shots total 1+ 78% 1
Gerrit Holtmann shots total 1+ 77% 2
Giorgos Masouras shots total 1+ 77% 1
Farès Chaïbi shots total 1+ 76% 2
Matúš Bero fouls committed 1+ 76% 3
Gerrit Holtmann fouls committed 1+ 72% 0
Philipp Hofmann shots total 1+ 72% 1
Dani De Wit fouls committed 1+ 72% 0
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya shots total 1+ 71% 2
Tom Krauß fouls committed 1+ 71% 1
Tom Krauß fouls drawn 1+ 70% 0
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya fouls committed 1+ 68% 1

How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed · Fouls drawn

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match goals O2.5 68% 4 goals
BTTS Yes 68% Yes
Match cards O4.5 32% 5 cards

How these are modelled: Match goals · Match cards

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Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on VfL Bochum 1848 v Eintracht Frankfurt?

11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on VfL Bochum 1848 v Eintracht Frankfurt?

The most confident call it got wrong was Gerrit Holtmann at 72% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Bundesliga?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.