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Bundesliga · 24/25

Eintracht Frankfurt v VfL Bochum 1848

How the SharpXI model rated this Bundesliga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Eintracht Frankfurt7 – 2 VfL Bochum 1848 2 Nov 2024
10/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Eintracht Frankfurt beat VfL Bochum 1848 7–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Omar Marmoush for 1+ fouls drawn (88%, had 5). Its clearest miss: Gerrit Holtmann for 1+ shots total (79%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Daniel Schlager refereed this match 4.45cards/game 1.09×vs league 58games
Daniel Schlager's card record →
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Omar Marmoush fouls drawn 1+ 88% 5
Omar Marmoush shots total 1+ 87% 2
Hugo Ekitiké shots total 1+ 85% 3
Gerrit Holtmann shots total 1+ 79% 0
Ibrahima Sissoko fouls committed 1+ 76% 2
Philipp Hofmann shots total 1+ 74% 2
Koji Miyoshi shots total 1+ 73% 0
Ansgar Knauff fouls committed 1+ 73% 1
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya shots total 1+ 73% 1
Moritz Broschinski shots total 1+ 73% 2
Dani De Wit fouls committed 1+ 72% 0
Can Uzun fouls committed 1+ 72% 0
Anthony Losilla fouls committed 1+ 71% 1
Ansgar Knauff shots total 1+ 70% 2

How these are modelled: Fouls drawn · Shots total · Fouls committed

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match goals O2.5 72% 9 goals
BTTS Yes 65% Yes
Match cards O4.5 42% 3 cards

How these are modelled: Match goals · Match cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Eintracht Frankfurt v VfL Bochum 1848?

10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Eintracht Frankfurt v VfL Bochum 1848?

The most confident call it got wrong was Gerrit Holtmann at 79% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Bundesliga?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.