VfL Bochum 1848 v FC Augsburg
How the SharpXI model rated this Bundesliga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before VfL Bochum 1848 lost to FC Augsburg 1–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 13 landed — the strongest being Frank Onyeka for 1+ fouls drawn (85%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Alexis Claude-Maurice for 1+ fouls committed (72%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Onyeka | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ibrahima Sissoko | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 4 | ✓ |
| Phillip Tietz | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Samuel Essende | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Matúš Bero | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Elvis Rexhbeçaj | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Samuel Essende | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Phillip Tietz | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Giorgos Masouras | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 7 | ✓ |
| Alexis Claude-Maurice | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 3 | ✓ |
| Samuel Essende | fouls drawn | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Philipp Hofmann | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 6 | ✓ |
| Alexis Claude-Maurice | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alexis Claude-Maurice | fouls drawn | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Fouls drawn · Fouls committed · Shots total
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 52% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 49% | 4 cards | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 47% | 3 goals | ✓ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- FC Augsburg 1–0 VfL Bochum 1848 Nov 2024
- VfL Bochum 1848 1–1 FC Augsburg Feb 2024
- FC Augsburg 2–2 VfL Bochum 1848 Sep 2023
- VfL Bochum 1848 3–2 FC Augsburg May 2023
- FC Augsburg 0–1 VfL Bochum 1848 Nov 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on VfL Bochum 1848 v FC Augsburg?
13 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on VfL Bochum 1848 v FC Augsburg?
The most confident call it got wrong was Alexis Claude-Maurice at 72% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Bundesliga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.