Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Bundesliga 25/26
AD

Adrian Beck

Attacking midfielder 53% of 30 recent starts 1. FC HeidenheimBundesliga 25/26

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga attacking midfielder, 25/26, 1,094 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.60 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
Total shots1.21 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
Fouls won0.60 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls committed1.51 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
Tackles1.81 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.30 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
Goals0.30 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.30 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

In 25/26, Adrian Beck has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 24 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 24), 1+ total shot in 38%, 1+ foul committed in 46%, 1+ foul won in 46%, and been booked in 4% (1 of 24). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable attacking midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Adrian Beck in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 41 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Adrian Beck1. FC Heidenheim 241.12 1.32
Carney ChukwuemekaBorussia Dortmund 281.73 1.05
Kevin StögerBorussia M'gladbach 291.54 1.54
Sirlord Conteh1. FC Heidenheim 151.45 1.02
Malik TillmanBayer 04 Leverkusen 291.81 0.96
Lucas HölerSC Freiburg 331.48 1.31
These 5, combined 1.61 1.20

Recent matches

The last 10 games Adrian Beck featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FSV Mainz 0516 May 17 0 0 0 0 1 0
FC St. Pauli25 Apr 56 0 1 1 1 1 0
@ SC Freiburg19 Apr 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin11 Apr 10 0 0 0 0 1 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen21 Mar 15 0 0 1 0 0 1
@ SV Werder Bremen28 Feb 25 0 0 1 1 0 0
@ FC Augsburg15 Feb 8 0 0 0 0 1 0
Hamburger SV7 Feb 13 0 1 0 0 0 0
RB Leipzig24 Jan 63 0 0 1 0 2 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg17 Jan 77 2 2 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Christian Dingert 6 games Adrian Beck never booked 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league
Bastian Dankert 5 games Adrian Beck booked in 1 3.60cards/game 0.88×vs league
Felix Zwayer 5 games Adrian Beck never booked 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Florian Badstubner 5 games Adrian Beck never booked 3.48cards/game 0.86×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Adrian Beck have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Adrian Beck has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 24 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 24). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Adrian Beck average?

Across 24 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Adrian Beck is averaging 0.41 shots on target and 1.12 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Adrian Beck get booked?

Adrian Beck is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Adrian Beck commit or win more fouls?

This season Adrian Beck commits 1.32 fouls per 90 and wins 1.43 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Adrian Beck?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Adrian Beck plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.