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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Connor Metcalfe

Forward · FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Connor Metcalfe has hit 1+ shot on target in 16% of 25 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 25), 1+ total shot in 44%, 1+ foul committed in 28%, 1+ foul won in 8%, and been booked in 8% (2 of 25). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 35 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.58
40%4 of 10
1.45
0%0 of 10
0.00
30%3 of 10
0.87
20%2 of 10
0.58
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Connor Metcalfe featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
VfL Wolfsburg16 May 89 1 2 0 0 0
@ RB Leipzig9 May 89 0 1 0 0 0
1. FSV Mainz 053 May 45 0 1 1 0 1
@ 1. FC Heidenheim25 Apr 2 0 0 0 0 0
1. FC Köln17 Apr 13 0 0 0 0 0
FC Bayern München11 Apr 24 1 1 1 0 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin5 Apr 17 0 0 0 0 0
SC Freiburg22 Mar 15 0 0 0 0 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach13 Mar 8 0 0 0 0 0
Eintracht Frankfurt8 Mar 9 0 0 1 0 1
Officials on record
Felix Zwayer 3 games · Connor Metcalfe booked in 1 4.39cards/game 1.07×vs league
Benjamin Brand 3 games · Connor Metcalfe never booked 4.43cards/game 1.08×vs league
Christian Dingert 3 games · Connor Metcalfe never booked 4.31cards/game 1.05×vs league
Sören Storks 3 games · Connor Metcalfe never booked 4.77cards/game 1.17×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Connor Metcalfe have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Connor Metcalfe has hit 1+ shot on target in 16% of 25 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 25). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Connor Metcalfe average?

Across 25 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Connor Metcalfe is averaging 0.60 shots on target and 2.40 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Connor Metcalfe get booked?

Connor Metcalfe is averaging 0.30 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Connor Metcalfe commit or win more fouls?

This season Connor Metcalfe commits 1.35 fouls per 90 and wins 0.30 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Connor Metcalfe?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Connor Metcalfe plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.