Elias Saad
In 25/26, Elias Saad has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% of 10 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Elias Saad featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV22 Nov | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ VfB Stuttgart9 Nov | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Borussia Dortmund31 Oct | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| RB Leipzig25 Oct | 65 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Köln18 Oct | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VfL Wolfsburg4 Oct | 79 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 0520 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ FC St. Pauli14 Sep | 69 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| FC Bayern München30 Aug | 64 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg23 Aug | 70 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Elias Saad have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Elias Saad has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% of 10 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Elias Saad average?
Across 10 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Elias Saad is averaging 0.54 shots on target and 1.26 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Elias Saad get booked?
Elias Saad is averaging 0.18 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Elias Saad commit or win more fouls?
This season Elias Saad commits 1.44 fouls per 90 and wins 2.16 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Elias Saad?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Elias Saad plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.