Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Bundesliga 24/25
FI

Fiete Arp

Striker 100% of 3 recent starts Holstein KielBundesliga 24/25

Last games
max 23 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.18 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
Total shots3.25 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
Fouls won2.66 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
Fouls committed2.95 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
Tackles1.77 per 90
50%
5 of 101.6×
10%
1 of 101.2×
Cards1.18 per 90
40%
4 of 104.4×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Fiete Arp has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Fiete Arp featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ FC Augsburg4 May 16 0 0 2 0 1 1
@ RB Leipzig19 Apr 12 0 1 0 1 0 1
SV Werder Bremen29 Mar 13 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ 1. FC Heidenheim16 Mar 34 0 3 2 0 0 1
VfB Stuttgart8 Mar 27 2 3 1 0 1 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen22 Feb 27 0 0 2 0 0 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt16 Feb 90 0 1 0 4 2 0
VfL Bochum 18489 Feb 45 0 1 1 2 1 0
@ FC Bayern München1 Feb 19 2 2 1 1 0 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg24 Jan 22 0 0 1 0 1 1
Officials on record
Robert Hartmann 3 games Fiete Arp booked in 1 3.86cards/game 0.95×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Bundesliga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Fiete Arp have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Fiete Arp has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Fiete Arp average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Fiete Arp is averaging 1.18 shots on target and 3.25 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Fiete Arp get booked?

Fiete Arp is averaging 1.18 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Fiete Arp commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Fiete Arp commits 2.95 fouls per 90 and wins 2.66 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Fiete Arp?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Fiete Arp plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.