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SharpXI©
Bundesliga 23/24
FR

Fraser Hornby

Forward Darmstadt 98Bundesliga 23/24

Last games
max 7 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 7 games

Compared with a Bundesliga forward, 25/26, 2,440 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.82 per 90
29%
2 of 70.8×
Total shots4.09 per 90
57%
4 of 70.9×
Fouls won0.41 per 90
14%
1 of 70.3×
Fouls committed2.05 per 90
43%
3 of 71.0×
Tackles0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 7
0%
0 of 7
Cards0.41 per 90
14%
1 of 71.7×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 7
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 7
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 7 Bundesliga games, Fraser Hornby has hit 1+ shot on target in 29% (2 of 7), 1+ total shot in 57%, 1+ foul committed in 43%, 1+ foul won in 14%, and been booked in 14% (1 of 7). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 7

Recent matches

The last 7 games Fraser Hornby featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FSV Mainz 0511 Nov 29 1 1 2 1 0 1
VfL Bochum 18483 Nov 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
RB Leipzig21 Oct 26 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ FC Augsburg7 Oct 19 0 1 0 0 0 0
SV Werder Bremen1 Oct 31 0 0 1 0 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin26 Aug 45 1 6 2 0 0 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt20 Aug 62 0 2 0 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Fraser Hornby have a shot on target?

Over the last 7 Bundesliga games, Fraser Hornby has hit 1+ shot on target in 29% (2 of 7). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Fraser Hornby average?

Across the last 7 Bundesliga games, Fraser Hornby is averaging 0.82 shots on target and 4.09 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Fraser Hornby get booked?

Fraser Hornby is averaging 0.41 cards per 90 over the last 7 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Fraser Hornby commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 7 games Fraser Hornby commits 2.05 fouls per 90 and wins 0.41 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Fraser Hornby?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Fraser Hornby plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.