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Bundesliga 25/26
LA

Lars Ritzka

Wing-back 61% of 23 recent starts FC St. PauliBundesliga 25/26

Last games
max 42 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga wing-back, 25/26, 863 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.18 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
Total shots0.53 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls won0.35 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls committed1.06 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Tackles3.37 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Lars Ritzka has hit 1+ shot on target in 5% of 21 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 21), 1+ total shot in 19%, 1+ foul committed in 33%, 1+ foul won in 14%, and been booked in 5% (1 of 21). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wing-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Lars Ritzka in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 34 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Lars RitzkaFC St. Pauli 210.37 1.02
William MikelbrencisHamburger SV 260.77 1.15
Montrell CulbreathBayer 04 Leverkusen 121.09 0.61
Olivier DemanSV Werder Bremen 160.72 1.36
Isaac SchmidtSV Werder Bremen 190.80 1.20
Nathaniel BrownFC Bayern München 330.61 0.91
These 5, combined 0.74 1.04

Recent matches

The last 10 games Lars Ritzka featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ RB Leipzig9 May 64 0 0 0 0 2 0
1. FSV Mainz 053 May 45 0 1 0 1 3 0
@ 1. FC Heidenheim25 Apr 27 0 0 0 0 1 0
1. FC Köln17 Apr 65 1 1 0 0 0 0
FC Bayern München11 Apr 77 0 0 3 1 4 0
SC Freiburg22 Mar 68 0 1 1 0 4 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach13 Mar 67 0 0 0 0 1 0
Eintracht Frankfurt8 Mar 42 0 0 1 0 3 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim28 Feb 45 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen14 Feb 8 0 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Felix Zwayer 7 games Lars Ritzka booked in 1 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Christian Dingert 4 games Lars Ritzka never booked 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league
Benjamin Brand 3 games Lars Ritzka never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league
Matthias Jollenbeck 3 games Lars Ritzka never booked 4.04cards/game 0.99×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Lars Ritzka have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Lars Ritzka has hit 1+ shot on target in 5% of 21 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 21). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Lars Ritzka average?

Across 21 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Lars Ritzka is averaging 0.09 shots on target and 0.37 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lars Ritzka get booked?

Lars Ritzka is averaging 0.09 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lars Ritzka commit or win more fouls?

This season Lars Ritzka commits 1.02 fouls per 90 and wins 0.28 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lars Ritzka?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lars Ritzka plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.