Marnon Busch
Full-back 40% of 30 recent starts 1. FC HeidenheimBundesliga 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga full-back, 25/26, 841 appearances
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In 25/26, Marnon Busch has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 29), 1+ total shot in 38%, 1+ foul committed in 41%, 1+ foul won in 28%, and been booked in 14% (4 of 29). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Marnon Busch in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 32 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marnon Busch1. FC Heidenheim | 29 | 0.56 | 0.85 |
| Luca NetzNottingham Forest | 15 | 0.19 | 0.76 |
| Lukas UllrichBorussia M'gladbach | 23 | 0.68 | 1.16 |
| David RaumRB Leipzig | 30 | 0.85 | 1.02 |
| Sebastian Sebulonsen1. FC Köln | 31 | 1.11 | 0.40 |
| Josip StanišićFC Bayern München | 26 | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| These 5, combined | 0.73 | 0.72 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Marnon Busch featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FSV Mainz 0516 May | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ FC Bayern München2 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| FC St. Pauli25 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg19 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin11 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Borussia M'gladbach4 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen21 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| @ Eintracht Frankfurt14 Mar | 84 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| TSG Hoffenheim7 Mar | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Augsburg15 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Marnon Busch have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Marnon Busch has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 29). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Marnon Busch average?
Across 29 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Marnon Busch is averaging 0.14 shots on target and 0.56 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Marnon Busch get booked?
Marnon Busch is averaging 0.19 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Marnon Busch commit or win more fouls?
This season Marnon Busch commits 0.85 fouls per 90 and wins 0.38 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marnon Busch?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marnon Busch plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.