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Bundesliga 25/26
MA

Martijn Kaars

Striker 100% of 14 recent starts FC St. PauliBundesliga 25/26

Last games
max 29 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.43 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
Total shots1.07 per 90
50%
5 of 100.7×
Fouls won0.43 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Fouls committed0.64 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles0.86 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 9
Cards0.43 per 90
20%
2 of 102.2×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.21 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Martijn Kaars has hit 1+ shot on target in 24% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (7 of 29), 1+ total shot in 48%, 1+ foul committed in 28%, 1+ foul won in 14%, and been booked in 7% (2 of 29). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Martijn Kaars in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Martijn KaarsFC St. Pauli 291.58 0.53
Oliver Burke1. FC Union Berlin 291.76 0.53
Andreas HountondjiBurnley 211.74 0.75
Damion DownsHamburger SV 121.15 1.31
Shuto MachinoBorussia M'gladbach 322.16 1.16
Marius Bülter1. FC Köln 322.35 0.95
These 5, combined 1.93 0.87

Recent matches

The last 10 games Martijn Kaars featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
VfL Wolfsburg16 May 90 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ RB Leipzig9 May 90 0 1 0 0 0 0
1. FSV Mainz 053 May 25 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Heidenheim25 Apr 45 0 0 1 0 0 1
1. FC Köln17 Apr 11 0 1 0 0 0 0
FC Bayern München11 Apr 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin5 Apr 60 0 0 1 0 2 0
SC Freiburg22 Mar 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach13 Mar 23 0 0 0 2 1 0
SV Werder Bremen22 Feb 53 1 1 1 0 1 1
Officials on record
Sören Storks 3 games Martijn Kaars booked in 1 4.72cards/game 1.16×vs league
Benjamin Brand 3 games Martijn Kaars never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Martijn Kaars have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Martijn Kaars has hit 1+ shot on target in 24% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (7 of 29). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Martijn Kaars average?

Across 29 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Martijn Kaars is averaging 0.66 shots on target and 1.58 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Martijn Kaars get booked?

Martijn Kaars is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Martijn Kaars commit or win more fouls?

This season Martijn Kaars commits 0.53 fouls per 90 and wins 0.39 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Martijn Kaars?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Martijn Kaars plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.