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Bundesliga 24/25
PA

Patrick Erras

Centre-back 100% of 10 recent starts Holstein KielBundesliga 24/25

Last games
max 10 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
Total shots0.86 per 90
50%
5 of 101.4×
Fouls won0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Fouls committed1.19 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Tackles0.86 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
0%
0 of 9
Cards0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 101.3×
Goals0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 102.0×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Patrick Erras has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Patrick Erras featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ FC St. Pauli29 Nov 90 0 2 2 0 1 1
1. FSV Mainz 0524 Nov 90 0 0 1 0 2 1
@ SV Werder Bremen9 Nov 90 0 0 2 0 0 0
1. FC Heidenheim2 Nov 90 1 2 3 0 0 0
@ VfB Stuttgart26 Oct 90 0 2 0 0 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin20 Oct 68 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen5 Oct 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
FC Bayern München14 Sep 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
VfL Wolfsburg31 Aug 90 0 1 0 0 4 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim24 Aug 90 0 1 3 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Patrick Erras have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Patrick Erras has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Patrick Erras average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Patrick Erras is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.86 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Patrick Erras get booked?

Patrick Erras is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Patrick Erras commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Patrick Erras commits 1.19 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Patrick Erras?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Patrick Erras plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.