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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Patrick Erras

Defender · Holstein Kiel · Bundesliga 25/26

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Patrick Erras has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 10 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.11
50%5 of 10
0.86
0%0 of 10
0.00
50%5 of 10
1.19
20%2 of 10
0.22
10%1 of 10
0.11
form only
0%0 of 10
0.00
form only
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Patrick Erras featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ FC St. Pauli29 Nov 90 0 2 2 0 1
1. FSV Mainz 0524 Nov 90 0 0 1 0 1
@ SV Werder Bremen9 Nov 90 0 0 2 0 0
1. FC Heidenheim2 Nov 90 1 2 3 0 0
@ VfB Stuttgart26 Oct 90 0 2 0 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin20 Oct 68 0 0 0 0 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen5 Oct 90 0 0 0 0 0
FC Bayern München14 Sep 45 0 0 0 0 0
VfL Wolfsburg31 Aug 90 0 1 0 0 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim24 Aug 90 0 1 3 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Patrick Erras have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Patrick Erras has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Patrick Erras average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Patrick Erras is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.86 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Patrick Erras get booked?

Patrick Erras is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Patrick Erras commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Patrick Erras commits 1.19 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Patrick Erras?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Patrick Erras plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.