Patrick Mainka
Centre-back 93% of 30 recent starts 1. FC HeidenheimBundesliga 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances
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In 25/26, Patrick Mainka has hit 1+ shot on target in 24% of 34 Bundesliga appearances (8 of 34), 1+ total shot in 65%, 1+ foul committed in 32%, 1+ foul won in 47%, and been booked in 3% (1 of 34). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Patrick Mainka in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 46 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mainka1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 1.09 | 0.32 |
| Willi OrbánRB Leipzig | 33 | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| Matthias GinterSC Freiburg | 32 | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| Cenk Özkaçar1. FC Köln | 25 | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| Robin KochEintracht Frankfurt | 32 | 0.48 | 0.98 |
| Konstantinos KoulierakisAS Roma | 31 | 0.90 | 1.07 |
| These 5, combined | 0.63 | 0.76 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Patrick Mainka featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FSV Mainz 0516 May | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Köln10 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ FC Bayern München2 May | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| FC St. Pauli25 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg19 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin11 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Borussia M'gladbach4 Apr | 90 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen21 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Eintracht Frankfurt14 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| TSG Hoffenheim7 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 20 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Patrick Mainka have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Patrick Mainka has hit 1+ shot on target in 24% of 34 Bundesliga appearances (8 of 34). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Patrick Mainka average?
Across 34 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Patrick Mainka is averaging 0.26 shots on target and 1.09 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Patrick Mainka get booked?
Patrick Mainka is averaging 0.03 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Patrick Mainka commit or win more fouls?
This season Patrick Mainka commits 0.32 fouls per 90 and wins 0.59 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Patrick Mainka?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Patrick Mainka plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.