Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell us →Updated daily. Tell us →
SharpXI© Open the screener
Bundesliga · 25/26
PA

Patrick Mainka

Defender · 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Patrick Mainka has hit 1+ shot on target in 24% of 34 Bundesliga appearances (8 of 34), 1+ total shot in 65%, 1+ foul committed in 32%, 1+ foul won in 47%, and been booked in 3% (1 of 34). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
30%3 of 10
0.40
70%7 of 10
1.20
50%5 of 10
0.70
50%5 of 10
0.50
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Patrick Mainka featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
1. FSV Mainz 0516 May 90 1 2 1 1 0
@ 1. FC Köln10 May 90 0 0 1 0 0
@ FC Bayern München2 May 90 1 2 1 0 0
FC St. Pauli25 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 0
@ SC Freiburg19 Apr 90 0 1 0 3 0
1. FC Union Berlin11 Apr 90 0 2 0 1 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach4 Apr 90 2 3 1 1 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen21 Mar 90 0 1 1 0 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt14 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 0
TSG Hoffenheim7 Mar 90 0 1 0 1 0
Officials on record
Bastian Dankert 8 games · Patrick Mainka never booked 3.55cards/game 0.87×vs league
Frank Willenborg 7 games · Patrick Mainka booked in 2 4.73cards/game 1.16×vs league
Tobias Welz 7 games · Patrick Mainka never booked 4.75cards/game 1.16×vs league
Christian Dingert 6 games · Patrick Mainka never booked 4.31cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 20 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Patrick Mainka have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Patrick Mainka has hit 1+ shot on target in 24% of 34 Bundesliga appearances (8 of 34). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Patrick Mainka average?

Across 34 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Patrick Mainka is averaging 0.26 shots on target and 1.09 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Patrick Mainka get booked?

Patrick Mainka is averaging 0.03 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Patrick Mainka commit or win more fouls?

This season Patrick Mainka commits 0.32 fouls per 90 and wins 0.59 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Patrick Mainka?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Patrick Mainka plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.