Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Bundesliga 25/26
TO

Tomoya Ando

Wide centre-back 86% of 14 recent starts FC St. PauliBundesliga 25/26

Last games
max 15 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga wide centre-back, 25/26, 757 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.21 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
Total shots0.82 per 90
60%
6 of 101.6×
Fouls won1.03 per 90
60%
6 of 101.4×
Fouls committed0.93 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Tackles2.47 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.31 per 90
30%
3 of 101.4×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 103.0×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

In 25/26, Tomoya Ando has hit 1+ shot on target in 13% of 15 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 15), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 53%, 1+ foul won in 47%, and been booked in 20% (3 of 15). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wide centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Tomoya Ando in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 32 wide centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Tomoya AndoFC St. Pauli 150.57 0.86
Philipp SanderBorussia M'gladbach 300.92 1.03
Jordan TorunarighaHamburger SV 240.23 0.87
Diogo LeiteLazio 230.46 1.14
Danny da Costa1. FSV Mainz 05 340.47 0.73
Nico SchlotterbeckBorussia Dortmund 281.14 1.07
These 5, combined 0.67 0.96

Recent matches

The last 10 games Tomoya Ando featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
VfL Wolfsburg16 May 90 0 1 1 2 5 0
@ RB Leipzig9 May 90 0 0 1 2 2 0
1. FSV Mainz 053 May 90 0 1 1 3 2 0
@ 1. FC Heidenheim25 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 4 0
1. FC Köln17 Apr 90 1 2 1 0 4 1
FC Bayern München11 Apr 90 1 1 0 1 1 0
SC Freiburg22 Mar 89 0 2 2 0 1 1
@ Borussia M'gladbach13 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Eintracht Frankfurt8 Mar 66 0 1 3 1 1 1
SV Werder Bremen22 Feb 90 0 0 0 1 4 0

Frequently asked

How often does Tomoya Ando have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Tomoya Ando has hit 1+ shot on target in 13% of 15 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 15). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tomoya Ando average?

Across 15 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Tomoya Ando is averaging 0.14 shots on target and 0.57 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tomoya Ando get booked?

Tomoya Ando is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tomoya Ando commit or win more fouls?

This season Tomoya Ando commits 0.86 fouls per 90 and wins 0.86 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tomoya Ando?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tomoya Ando plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.