Blackpool v Sheffield United
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Blackpool lost to Sheffield United 1–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Billy Sharp for 1+ shots total (94%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Enda Stevens for 1+ tackles (89%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
9 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Sharp | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Iliman Ndiaye | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 1 | ✓ |
| Enda Stevens | tackles | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Oliver Norwood | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 4 | ✓ |
| Kenny Dougall | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ciaran Clark | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Anel Ahmedhodžić | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sander Berge | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Beesley | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Oliver Norwood | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 2 | ✓ |
| James McAtee | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 2 | ✓ |
| Gary Madine | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jerry Yates | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 3 | ✓ |
| Shayne Lavery | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 53% | 0 cards | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 13% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| BTTS | Yes | 13% | Yes | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Match cards Match goals
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sheffield United 3–3 Blackpool Oct 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Blackpool v Sheffield United?
12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Blackpool v Sheffield United?
The most confident call it got wrong was Enda Stevens at 89% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.