Burnley v Huddersfield Town
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Burnley beat Huddersfield Town 4–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 13 landed — the strongest being Ashley Barnes for 1+ shots total (95%, had 4). Its clearest miss: Hjalmar Ekdal for 1+ tackles (80%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Barnes | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 4 | ✓ |
| Nathan Tella | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Obafemi | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lyle Foster | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Anass Zaroury | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Etienne Camara | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Tella | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| David Kasumu | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Brownhill | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jóhann Guðmundsson | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 3 | ✓ |
| Hjalmar Ekdal | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Maatsen | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Joseph Hungbo | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Brahima Diarra | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 38% | 2 cards | ✗ |
| BTTS | Yes | 13% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 13% | 4 goals | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Match cards BTTS
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Huddersfield Town 0–1 Burnley Jul 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Burnley v Huddersfield Town?
13 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Burnley v Huddersfield Town?
The most confident call it got wrong was Hjalmar Ekdal at 80% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.